Well from now on the good starts, the COT DEP indicator shows us that a market ceiling is brewing in February and that this will bring an orderly and shallow adjustment consuming mostly time and not price, so since we think that taking into account the strong resistance of the May 2011 highs we marked in the black graph in the 1350-60 levels and matching this with the COT DEP indicator report, a smooth correction could occur in Brief to the levels of retracement of 38% in the 1260 with a maximum correction of 61% until 1200-1210, the end of this side-bearish phase will occur in the month of June.
In June and as indicated in red on the graph of the COT DEP, which is the top black, the corrective phase will conclude and begin a new upward stage that runs from mid-June to mid-December, which would come to conicidir with a third upward impulse or a 5 wave according to elliot, well, if this were so and taking into account that according to the theory of elliot waves 3 can never be the least, wave five would have to be equal to wave 1 or as much equal to wave 3, never greater. This gives us the objective of rising, on the one hand, the level of 61% of the whole movement up from the October lows to the possible highs of February 2012, with a resistance level at 1390-1400, marked in green and on the other hand, a goal of rising to the level of 100% that coincides with 1480-1500.
In December and at the end of the last upward stretch, the total upward momentum that would have had a total duration of 13 months, which is the normal duration of a bullish stock market in primary trend according to Dow theory, would be considered finished.
Summary :
From FEBRUARY TO JUNE 2012 cuts in the stock markets soft in depth but consuming a lot of time. Corrections between 7% and 10% depth and 4 months duration.
From JUNE to DECEMBER 2012 promotions between 12% and 18% from the minimums marked in June and a duration of about 6 months.
Any questions or queries can be made through the email analisis@enbolsa.net
A greeting.
Experts Training
No olviden que tanto para este como para los demás tipos de análisis a la hora de operar en los mercados financieros se debe de hacer de manera responsable teniendo en cuenta aspectos como la gestión monetaria y la gestión del riesgo para poder gestionar de una manera adecuada y eficiente su cartera de valores, considerando además otros aspectos como el broker con el que se invierte, psicología entre otros muchos factores.
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