" Already in May 2011, I introduced indicators that I have of looking at the TOC on Eurodollar futures and positions. For almost a year, we have known that one of the main roofs was going to arrive in February 2012 . And of course, the prices of shares have been rising well in recent weeks fulfilling that expectation.
Now, this indicator says that things are going to be less fun for investors for a while. The next 3 months show one side of the structure downwards in the Eurodollar COT data, and the implication is that the advance to maximums that we have seen will give way to a transition zone that gives us a market without trend or lateral while correct the excesses . That's fine if one can be a swing trader, with buying and selling opportunities, but it's a terrible time to be an investor that buys and maintains.
The next important turning point is observed at the beginning of June, when this COT indicator says that another large rally of several months is scheduled to begin. The frustration and pessimism will disappear again , and the right configuration will be created for a new big uptrend. The difficult task will be to preserve patience, until then, waiting for conditions to be right again. "
However, this rally could end at the end of 2012, a level where the Eurodollar COT would again show danger and a ceiling of greater magnitude than currently expected.
If you want to know more about this work methodology, get in touch with us through the emails of enbolsa- análisis@enbolsa.net .
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No olviden que tanto para este como para los demás tipos de análisis a la hora de operar en los mercados financieros se debe de hacer de manera responsable teniendo en cuenta aspectos como la gestión monetaria y la gestión del riesgo para poder gestionar de una manera adecuada y eficiente su cartera de valores, considerando además otros aspectos como el broker con el que se invierte, psicología entre otros muchos factores.
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